The Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC) meeting today is a significant event for the cryptocurrency market, as decisions on U.S. monetary policy can influence crypto asset prices. What’s expected Rate Cut (~25 bps) Almost Fully Priced In Markets overwhelmingly expect the Fed to cut interest rates by 25 basis points to a target range of 4.00%-4.25%. A larger cut (50 bps) is considered very unlikely at this meeting. Forward Guidance / The “Dot Plot” & Language Will Matter Since the 25 bps cut is largely expected already, what markets will focus on is how dovish or hawkish the Fed’s statements are. Key will be: How the Fed views inflation (is it easing or still persistent). Their outlook for the labor market (how weak will they allow it to get). Projections for future rate moves (“dot plot”) to see how many cuts are expected going forward. Volatility & “Sell-the-News” Risk Because so much is already priced in, there is risk that even a “good” ...